Punjab Exit Polls 2024 Live Updates: Congress expected to lead in Punjab, BJP to gain seats (2024)

June 1 marked the end of the seven phases of the Lok Sabha Elections 2024, with voters in Punjab casting their votes to decide the future of candidates across the state’s 13 parliamentary constituencies. This year's election in Punjab sees a fierce four-way contest between the Bhartiya Janta Party (BJP), Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), Congress, and Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD).

Punjab Exit Polls 2024

TimesNow

Seat Share
BJP: 4

AAP: 4
Cong: 5

Other: 0

India Today Axis My India
Seat Share

BJP-2-4
Congress: 7-9

AAP: 0-2
SAD: 2-3

Vote Share
BJP: 26%
Cong:31%
SAD: 20%
AAP: 18%
Others: 5%

Republic TV--P MARQ
BJP-3
SAD-3
Cong-2
AAP-4

Republic TV--P Matrize
BJP-0-2
SAD-1-4
Cong-0-3
AAP-3-6

Congress Expected to Maintain Lead
In the upcoming Lok Sabha elections, the Congress is projected to secure a significant number of seats in Punjab, according to various exit polls. News18 Mega Exit Poll predicts that the Congress will win 8-10 seats. Similarly, the India Today Axis My India exit poll forecasts the Congress will obtain 7-9 seats, reflecting a performance similar to their 2019 results.

BJP Gains Ground
The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which is contesting the Punjab elections independently for the first time in 25 years, is expected to win 2-4 seats according to both the News18 and India Today exit polls. This represents a notable shift in the state's political dynamics.

AAP's Declining Influence
The ruling Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is anticipated to have a poor showing. News18 predicts AAP will secure 0-1 seat, while the India Today poll suggests they may get 0-2 seats. This indicates a significant decline in AAP's influence in Punjab.

Shiromani Akali Dal's Struggles
The Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD), once a dominant force in Punjab, is not expected to win any seats, according to the exit polls. This marks a continuing trend of declining support for the party in recent years.

Minor Parties' Prospects
Other parties in Punjab are projected to win 0-1 seats, showing limited influence in the state's political landscape.

Punjab Exit Polls 2024: Key Contests and Candidates

Punjab’s political landscape is witnessing a dynamic battle with prominent candidates in key constituencies. In Amritsar, the BJP has fielded former Indian Ambassador to the US, Taranjeet Singh Sandhu. Patiala is a significant battleground with Preneet Kaur of the BJP, who is the wife of former Punjab Chief Minister Amarinder Singh, competing against notable candidates from Congress and AAP.

Punjab Exit Polls 2024: Main Parties and Their Stakes

The state’s elections are crucial for major political parties. AAP, Congress, BJP, and SAD are all contesting independently, each aiming to secure a substantial number of seats. For the first time, the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) has also entered the fray, fielding candidates for select seats.

Punjab Exit Polls 2024: Polling and Counting Schedule

Voters in Punjab cast their ballots on June 1, in the seventh phase of the national elections. The counting of votes for Punjab’s 13 seats, along with the remaining 530 seats across the country, is scheduled for June 4, as per the Election Commission of India. Out of the total 545 seats in Parliament, polling took place across 543 seats, with the remaining two seats reserved for nominated representatives of the Anglo-Indian community if deemed necessary by the President.

Punjab Exit Polls 2024: Anticipated Results

Exit polls, a post-election survey, provide predictions based on voter feedback collected by survey agencies after casting their votes. These predictions aim to reflect public sentiment and electoral trends before the actual results are announced. The official announcement of the Chhattisgarh General Election 2024 result will come from the Election Commission of India.

Punjab Exit Polls 2024: 2014 and 2019 Elections

In the 2019 elections, Congress emerged victorious in eight out of the 13 seats in Punjab, while BJP, SAD, and AAP secured the remaining five. In 2014, the results were more dispersed, with SAD and AAP each winning four seats, Congress three, and BJP two.

Punjab Exit Polls 2024: Past Exit Poll Accuracy

In 2019, India Today-Axis My India and Today’s Chanakya were among the most accurate, predicting over 350 seats for the NDA and around 95 for the UPA. However, Times Now-VMR's prediction of around 306 seats for NDA and nearly 130 for UPA was less accurate.

Punjab Exit Polls 2024: Actual Results Comparison

After the 2019 elections, the NDA won 353 seats, while the UPA secured only 91, with the BJP winning 303 seats and the Congress 52. Most exit polls underestimated the actual number of seats won by the NDA.

Punjab Exit Polls 2024: Past Trends in 2014

In 2014, most exit polls accurately predicted the BJP-led NDA's victory over the Congress-led UPA, with the BJP winning an absolute majority with 282 seats. However, in 2004, all exit polls incorrectly predicted an NDA win, leading to a UPA victory.

Punjab Exit Polls 2024: Punjab Exit Polls

In 2019, despite a Modi wave, Congress won 8 out of 13 seats in Punjab, while AAP, which was projected to win no seats, managed to secure one. In 2014, the BJP-Akali Dal alliance won four seats against the projection of three.

Exit Polls in 2019

• India Today-Axis My India: Predicted NDA would win 339 to 365 seats and UPA 77 to 108.
• News24-Today’s Chanakya: NDA about 350 seats, UPA 95.
• News18-IPSOS: Predicted 336 seats for NDA, 82 for UPA, and 124 for other parties.
• Times Now-VMR: Projected NDA to win around 306 seats, UPA 132.
• India TV-CNX: Estimated 300 seats for NDA, 120 for UPA.
• CVoter: 287 for NDA, 128 for UPA.

Actual Results in 2019

NDA won 353 seats, UPA 91, with BJP securing 303 and Congress 52 seats. Most exit polls underestimated NDA's actual seat count.

Exit Polls in 2014

• CNN-IBN – CSDS–Lokniti: NDA – 276, UPA-97, Others-148
• India Today – Axis My India: NDA-272, UPA-115, Others- 156
• News 24 – Today’s Chanakya: NDA-340, UPA-70, Others-133
• Times Now – ORG: NDA-249, UPA-148, Others- 146
• ABP News – Nielsen: NDA-274, UPA-97, Others-165
• NDTV – Hansa Research: NDA-279, UPA-103, Others-161

Actual Results in 2014

NDA-336, UPA-66, Others-147
BJP-282, Congress-44